Posted tagged ‘supply and demand’

THE GREAT ECONOMIC WISDOM OF PROGESSIVES

July 18, 2010

This newest Pelosi-ism has moved me to do a bit of examination of the Progessives’ approach to the economy.  This post will show a few prominent Progessives in their own words.  The first quote is from Ms. Pelosi, who you will remember has been Speaker of the House of Representatives of the United States for three and a half years.    

Ms. Pelosi’s conclusions can’t have anything to do with politics trumping sound economic principles, can they?  She concludes that: (1) Republicans are mean guys who lie about the effect of paying some people not to work, and (2) paying money for no work is a good thing for economic recovery because it makes sure the money is spent quickly.  It’s great that this policy has only positive effects, right Ms. Pelosi.  This eliminates even having to think about the possible negative effects, huh?   

Lyndon Johnson, the father of the Progressive program known as the Great Society, is among the most prominent and powerful progressives ever.  From Larry De Witt’s excellent 2003 essay,”The Medicare Program As The Capstone To The Great Society — Recent Revelations in the Recent White House Tapes,” Johnson is quoted at length admitting that sound economics was not his motivation for acting on many domestic “priorities,” it was just his innate goodness that he was putting into governing.   

Probably the most revealing conversation regarding LBJ’s political values and sentiments as they related to Social Security and Medicare was an extended conversation he had with his Press Secretary, Bill Moyers. In this conversation, recorded on March 10, 1965, Johnson permits himself to reflect almost philosophically on his support for a provision in a pending bill which would provide a retroactive increase in Social Security payments. Moyers is arguing that the President should support the retroactivity clause because it will provide a stimulus to the economy. Johnson supports the provision, but he makes clear to Moyers that he does not see programs like Social Security and Medicare as being about economics.
Johnson: My reason though is not because of the economy. . . . my reason would be the same as I agreed to go $400 million on health. I’ve never seen an anti-trust suit lie against an old-age pensioner for monopoly or concentration of power or closely-held wealth. I’ve never seen it apply it to the average worker. And I’ve never seen one have too much health benefits. So when they come in to me and say we’ve got to have $400 million more so we can take care of some doctors bills, I’m for it on health. I’m pretty much for it on education. I’m for it anywhere it’s practicable. . . . My inclination would be . . . that it ought to retroactive as far back as you can get . . . because none of them ever get enough. That they are entitled to it. That’s an obligation of ours. It’s just like your mother writing you and saying she wants $20, and I’d always sent mine a $100 when she did. I never did it because I thought it was going to be good for the economy of Austin. I always did it because I thought she was entitled to it. And I think that’s a much better reason and a much better cause and I think it can be defended on a hell of a better basis. . . . We do know that it affects the economy. . . . it helps us in that respect. But that’s not the basis to go to the Hill, or the justification. We’ve just got to say that by God you can’t treat grandma this way. She’s entitled to it and we promised it to her.”    

In fact, Johnson explicitly eschews economics in favor of his paternalistic approach to “taking care” of people.  What happens in the long run, who knows so long as the present is taken care of?    

Paul Krugman, a self admitted Progressive as well as an Economic Nobel Laureate and columnist for the NY Times, has recently observed this concerning his assignment of blame for starting the Third Depression:    

So I don’t think this is really about Greece, or indeed about any realistic appreciation of the tradeoffs between deficits and jobs.    

Paul Krugman

It is, instead, the victory of an orthodoxy that has little to do with rational analysis, whose main tenet is that imposing suffering on other people is how you show leadership in tough times.     

And who will pay the price for this triumph of orthodoxy? The answer is, tens of millions of unemployed workers, many of whom will go jobless for years, and some of whom will never work again.    

In other words the ‘not profligate’ among us are hard hearted and unfeeling b_ _ _ _ds who are just interested in elections!  Huh?    

FDR Campaign Button

Then there is this famous quotation from the godfather of all modern Progressives, FDR, addressing the political strength of the Ponzi scheme  known as Social Security:    

We put those pay roll contributions there so as to give the contributors a legal, moral, and political right to collect their pensions and their unemployment benefits. With those taxes in there, no damn politician can ever scrap my social security program. Those taxes aren’t a matter of economics, they’re straight politics.     

This demigod admitted to his unconcern for the future economics of his country in favor of the politics of paternalism.     

And again there is the always economically minded Ms. Pelosi addressing Obamacare as a “jobs” bill.     

Who believes that it is a good thing for this country for people to quit their paying jobs so that they can be cared for by the rest of us.  But in the mind of Madam Speaker this is a great jobs program because the unemployed will be able to fill the now abandoned jobs.  You sly fox!!!  Since it’s such a good jobs program why aren’t we starting it in 2010 instead of 2014?     

Finally, I quote the “Compassionator in Chief,” the “Decider” himself on the indispensible nature of the Medicare Part D drug benefit which has never been paid for, even in theory, other than by increasing the size of the federal deficit.  Having pushed this entitlement through to favor politcally active and powerful senior citizens over everyone else, in his 2004 State of the Union speech George W. Bush proclaims:    

I signed this measure proudly, and any attempt to limit the choices of our seniors, or to take away their prescription drug coverage under Medicare, will meet my veto.    

What economic laws do Progressives hold to as a matter of principle?  None that I can see other than the idea that there really is such a thing as a free lunch.  The economics of supply and demand, the law of unintended consequences be damned, that’s what Progessives believe.  In the Progressive mind electoral politics is the only thing that matters.  Whatever policy will get them through the next election is what they will choose.  Whatever benefits them politically, usually paternalistic and pandering, will win the day even if the problems created in the long run are obvious and huge.  They simply deny the existence of long term economic effects from their politically motivated economic actions.  Progressive politicians, like most of us, are capable of rationalizing away any inconvenient fact of life, such as the fact that you can’t create wealth by dropping borrowed money from helicopters.  In fact, the more intelligent the Progressive, the better they are at rationalizing and sound biting away the inconvenient fact that there is simply no such thing as a free lunch, someone always has to pay.

UPDATE – As of August 11, 2011 this just in:

The White House has now adopted the economic road advocated by Ms. Pelosi. Grow unemployment and you will grow the economy. No kidding, this is what they think. Don’t believe me, here is Jay Carney lecturing a reporter from the Wall Street Journal from the White House podium on the basics of economics:

I guess you really can grow the economy by dropping money from helicopters. Why stop at the unemployed, give everyone free money and we’ll all be better off in the long run. Whoo knew? No wonder we’re in such great shape with these geniuses in charge. Have they ever heard of Bastiat and the effect of the broken window?

IT’S ALL ABOUT INCENTIVES MS. PELOSI

May 29, 2010

       How do you get people to do things which are good for them and good for each other?  One possible plan would be to start with a definition of what is good and then develop the incentives to accomplish that good.  In a world in which people are free to choose, there could even be a deeply human relationship between what is good and the incentives you develop.  Let’s work through it and see . . .

       What is good? Are you one of those seditious folks who think giving people what they want is good?  If you are such a one, how would you go about giving people what they want?  Would you ask them?  This is imperfect since they can lie to try to please the questioner or to please themselves by answering in a way which pleases their view of themselves or their responses may be limited by the questions which the questioner asks because of the questioner’s own idea of what is good.  Of course, you could simply tell them what is good for them and eliminate their choices altogether but that’s another post.  Alternatively you could simply see what they are willing to freely trade for, a very objective and real way of expressing their idea of what is good for them?

       If you think that what people are willing to pay or trade for is the best measure of what is good, then you have a starting point. If this is your idea, then you  would probably create a free market in which people are freely permitted to exchange things of value which they own (payment) for other things which they consider to be of equal or greater value but which they don’t own yet. The desire for things which other people have and which you are willing to trade value for is called demand by some economists and it is at least one measure of what is good.

       Supply, on the other hand, comes about by people seeking to create goods and services which others demand in order to have valuable things to trade for the goods and services created by others to satisfy their own demand. This is what the market is all about, matching buyers and sellers, supply and demand.  In my experience this is the main reason most people go to work in the first place. Their incentive to work is to get something to trade with. Hmmm, it appears that there may even be a relationship here between supply and demand, work and appetite.

       What does the speaker of the house think about this supply and demand idea of what is good?  Says she,

Think of an economy where people could be an artist or a photographer or a writer without worrying about keeping their day job in order to have health insurance.

Don’t believe that she said that, watch her yourself in this clip from the Rachel Maddow show a few months ago.

 

       Is Madam Speaker nuts?  Certainly she could not have intended to say that.  It must have been garbled to the extent of a Bushism.  Creating artistic entrepreneurs who haven’t been discovered yet, that wouldn’t create real economic growth, would it?  Certainly the speaker’s handlers got to her and made sure that she didn’t say that again, right?  Wrong, here she is last week repeating her prescription for economic growth through stimulating entrepreneurs.

       What happens to people who do not create that which others want to buy? In Pelosiworld they are subsidized to turn out mountains of unwanted but “artistically valuable” books, paintings, sculptures and photos. Seems as if we’re going to have a large supply of artistic goods. Unfortunately, however, there’ll still be about the same amount of demand for valuable things like food, health care, cars, gas, etc. If people aren’t willing to eat and drive less in order to get the artistic good you’re selling, there has been a mis-allocation of resources. There’s been an allocation of resources, human labor, to produce things which are not very valuable to others. The result of this mis-allocation, for instance, may be hunger without the food to satisfy it!!!! Get it, there is a relationship, huh? I know it’s harsh but in a world where people are unable to sell their art, they must get a real job for which people are willing to pay money!!!! At this job they will in turn create things others want and need. Hamburgers, computers, cars, medical care, whatever.

       In Pelosiworld, while creating the goods and services people want, the better producers are going to be taxed extra in order to help pay the medical bills for otherwise starving artistes? Will food end up being a part of their governmentally provided medical treatment? Shelter? Where will it stop? Is this arrangement sensible to anyone? By creating a Pelosiworld we are in a place where people aren’t going to want to do the things which are hard, unpleasant or difficult but which have real value. In Pelosiworld we will subsidize the creation of things which have little or no value (remember Pelosi admits that the artistes don’t even create enough value to afford to pay for their own health insurance). Therefore, things that they might have created and for which there is a real demand will become even scarcer. While there is growth in both taxes on productive and valuable work and subsidies for creating things that are not valuable, guess which of these things Pelosiworld will create more of and which it’ll create less of?

       I’ve got the answer to this conundrum, let’s import more undocumented workers in order to do the work that ‘Americans just won’t do.’  If we do this, however, we’ll have to make sure that the new players never catch on to the game.